Geopolitics

geopolitics Analysis

15th November 2017

Implications of China’s 19th National Congress

In his address, Ambassador Yue analysed the outcomes of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China.
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2nd November 2017

The World Health Organisation – Addressing Health Emergencies Around the Globe

Dr Mike Ryan discussed the role of the World Health Organisation’s Health Emergencies Programme and how it reacts to crises around the world.
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26th October 2017

Exploring Conservative America: Politics, Policy and Populism

In their addresses, Mr Fallows and Prof. Sracic explored various dimensions of conservative America, reflecting particularly on contentious policy issues as well as susceptibility to populism.
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25th October 2017

The US Presidential Elections: One Year On

On Wednesday, 25 October the IIEA hosted a seminar, entitled The US Presidential Elections: One Year.
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12th October 2017

Is De-Globalisation Underway?

In an era where a growing number of voices oppose globalisation, Mr Lamy examined the likelihood of the emergence of a period of so-called ‘de-globalisation’.
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12th October 2017

NATO-EU Relations from an International Law Perspective

In 2016, NATO and the EU issued a joint declaration outlining a series of areas, in which the two organisations would cooperate, including countering hybrid threats, enhancing resilience, defence capacity building, cyber defence, maritime security, and exercises.
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28th July 2017

China’s priority partner in the new global order?

In his address to the IIEA, Professor Godement discussed the re-emergence of China, and its increasingly prominent role on the global stage. He examined what he sees as China’s interest-driven view of the global order, and explored the implications of this trend for the European Union, particularly in light of the “America First” policy position of President Trump and his administration.
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25th July 2017

The Contest for the 21st Century and the Future of American Power in the Era of Trump and Putin

In his keynote address, Mr Wright drew on his new book, entitled All Measures Short of War: The Contest for the 21st Century and the Future of American Power, in which he claims that great power competition has returned following two decades of unprecedented cooperation between the major global players. He argued that the great powers all seek to avoid a major war with each other but will compete with all measures short of that, including cyber war, economic war, proxy war, and coercive diplomacy.
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geopolitics Publications

23rd February 2017

US Border Adjustment Proposal – A Radical Departure?

This briefing examines the tax reform proposals made by Republican Party leaders in the United States and, in particular, the border adjustment measures advocated by Paul Ryan, the Speaker of the House, and Kevin Brady, Chairman of the House of Representatives’ Ways and Means Committee. If enacted, border adjustment would represent a radical change to the US corporate tax system. The briefing analyses the arguments for and against the proposed border adjustment measures, which have divided corporate America and led to concern among leading US trade partners. Its publication comes ahead of an expected announcement from the White House regarding President Trump’s plan for tax reform.
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16th January 2017

Finding Our Bearings: European Security Challenges in the Era of Trump and Brexit

The conventional view of Europe as a zone of peace, already shaken by Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, was further challenged by two generally unanticipated events in 2016: the referendum in the United Kingdom on 23 June to withdraw from the European Union and the election on 8 November of Donald Trump as President of the United States. This paper attempts to discern the direction of international security policy in 2017 and to set out the challenges for European security, and their implications for Ireland.
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11th January 2017

Celebrating 60 Years Japan – Ireland Diplomatic Relations

2017 marks the 60th anniversary of diplomatic relations between Ireland and Japan. This IIEA report, commissioned by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, examines relations between Ireland and Japan across politics, economics, trade and investment, tourism, education and culture. It outlines the many positive aspects of the Ireland-Japan relationship and identifies steps that could be taken to further strengthen ties between the two nations in the years ahead.
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16th August 2016

China’s Market Economy Status: A Political Issue

China’s Market Economy Status: A Political Issue The European Union is currently under pressure to decide as whether to grant Market Economy Status (MES) to China, when certain provisions in its World Trade Organisation Accession Protocol lapse on 11 December 2016. Although China’s quest for market economy status is presented as a technical issue, a lack of clarity in the legal text has left the issue open to both interpretation and politicisation. As the deadline for a decision approaches, this paper analyses the political dimension of the options facing the EU, and their implications for Europe and EU-China relations.
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25th May 2016

The Silk Road, XXI Century – One Belt, One Road

In late 2013, the Chinese leadership announced an initiative called One Belt One Road, consisting of a land element – development of infrastructure between central China and Western Europe, and a maritime element, starting from a port in South-Eastern China and ending in Venice.

There are many reasons for this breath-taking initiative: a change in orientation of the domestic economy, development of Western inland regions of China itself, security in Central Asia, accelerated access to markets and raw materials, and break-out from perceived US encirclement. The initiative is accompanied by the establishment by China of the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank, and a $46 bn Silk Road Fund. Much more will be needed. The project involves some 60 countries and spans the whole of the Eurasian land mass, and includes one of the most neuralgic straits in the world, the Straits of Malacca. The geopolitical implications are huge – the interests of the US, Russia and the EU are in play. But there are potential benefits for everyone in freeing up an increasingly important channel for two-way trade and exchange.
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geopolitics Past Events

15th June 2017

The End of the West? The stakes for the US and Europe in a world of disorder

In his address, Mr Quinlan discussed the depth of the EU-US commercial alliance and highlighted the commercial benefits to both. He also examined the risks to both parties if the cracks in the transatlantic relationship become unbridgeable.
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12th June 2017

China’s Current Economic and Financial Environment

In his address to the IIEA, Dr Yang Kaisheng gave his assessment of China’s current macroeconomic performance, as well as China’s banking industry and its future prospects.
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6th June 2017

Global Protection Challenges: What Does The Refugee Experience Teach Us?

There are more than 16.5 million refugees in the world today and policymakers continue to rely upon the 1951 Convention as a tried and tested guide in their responses to refugees. This requires the commitment of States and the support of civil society. With the adoption of the New York Declaration, States recognised that displacement is a reality in the modern world that needs to be addressed in a more comprehensive, equitable, and thoughtful manner. The New York Declaration represents a sea change in the international approach to refugee situations, and opens up possibilities for strengthened engagement with a broad range of public and private actors to ensure a more timely and predictable support for refugees and the communities that host them.
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18th May 2017

The Meaning of the Trump Era for Europe and Germany

In her address, Dr Stelzenmüller discussed the implications of the Trump administration‘s geopolitical approach for Europe and Germany’s future relationship with the US. President Trump’s inconsistent statements and criticisms regarding the European Union come at a time when the United Kingdom, the United States’ closest ally within the EU-28, is preparing for negotiations for withdrawal from the EU, which has led to more vocal calls for Germany to become more actively involved in shaping the future of transatlantic relations.
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15th May 2017

Islamic State’s Online Strategy: Then and Now

Use of the Internet, particularly social media, by violent extremists, terrorists and their supporters is a source of anxiety for policymakers and publics. In her address, Dr Conway detailed the development of IS’s online strategy from 2014 to the present, with a particular focus on online-offline connections and the ‘social’ aspects of social media. She also examined the contemporary disruption of social media companies by IS’s online activity and its effectiveness. 
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